Key Highlights of the Pakistan Economic Survey 2017
- GDP growth crossed the 5% mark for the first time in 10 years to close the year at 5.28%.
- Pakistan’s economy is now worth more than USD 300bn.
- Key growth sectors: Services 5.98%, Industrials 5.02% and Agriculture 3.46%.
- Services now contribute 60% to GDP (previously 58%) while agriculture contributes 20%.
- Major crops underwent a growth of 3.46%.
- The cotton ginning sector depicted a growth of 5.59%. Cotton bales supply during the period remained at 10.7mn bales.
- Sugar cane production during the year was set at 73.61mn tons.
- Agriculture credit to reach a massive PKR 700bn.
- Consumer Price Index (CPI) remained below the expected 6% to clock-in at 4.09%. Dissection revealed Food price inflation remained at 3.86%, whereas prices of non-food items surged by 4.25% in 10MFY17.
- Fiscal deficit to arrive at 4.2% in FY17 with total revenue at PKR 4,172bn.
- The same however, cannot be said for trade deficit which was targeted at PKR 20.4bn; actual deficit swelled to PKR 24bn in the period.
- Remittances for the outgoing year are projected at USD 19.5bn, while Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is expected to reach USD 2.58bn in FY17.
- Current account deficit is expected to reach USD 8.3bn by the end of this year.
- Imports by end of the current year should peak to USD 45.48bn with imports of machinery depicting a growth of 40% YoY (in particular, imports of machinery for Power and agriculture escalated by 70% and 37% YoY, respectively).
- While exports are expected to reach ~USD 22bn in FY17.
- Forex reserves have cooled down slightly to USD 21bn.
- Pertinently, income per capita has reached USD 1,629.
- That said, GDP growth target for next year set at 6%.